Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Related deadlines movingSignal: Medium
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?
7 active outcomes in this event
↑ 12.50
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
↑ 12.50 moved -28.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 20.0pp, from 52% to 32%, between 07:00 and 08:00 UTC. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #6 of 40 moves reviewed: -28.0pp move, $699 activity, other outcomes moved too.
$699 traded in 24h$60K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 8 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 15 outcomes
- ↑ 11.0053% · -16.5pp
- ↓ 4.0020% · +1.5pp
- ↑ 14.0019% · -20.3pp
- ↑ 15.5013% · -8.0pp
- ↑ 12.5032% · -28.0pp
- ↓ 3.005% · -1.6pp
9 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Related deadlines movingSignal: Medium
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
3 active outcomes in this event
October 15
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
October 15 moved -26.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 35.5pp, from 50% to 15%, between 08:00 and 09:00 UTC. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #7 of 40 moves reviewed: -26.5pp move, $7K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$7K traded in 24h$483K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 8 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 13 outcomes
7 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Cause not yet reportedSignal: Medium
Romanian parliament dissolved by...?
1 active outcomes in this event
December 31
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31 moved -22.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 29.5pp, from 45% to 16%, between 04:00 and 05:00 UTC. The shape of the price move makes it worth a closer look.
Ranked #8 of 40 moves reviewed: -22.0pp move, $1K activity.
$1K traded in 24h$1K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 8 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 3 outcomes
Related deadlines movingSignal: Medium
WNBA: 2026 Champion
4 active outcomes in this event
Las Vegas Aces
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Las Vegas Aces moved -18.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 10.5pp, from 20% to 10%, between 02:00 and 03:00 UTC. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #9 of 40 moves reviewed: -18.5pp move, $4K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$4K traded in 24h$10K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 8 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 15 outcomes
9 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.