Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+12.2ppVol $48KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Category
Crypto
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching crypto markets.
Showing 1-36 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+3.4ppVol $42KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowStale data
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.7ppVol $26KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+1.0ppVol $25KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowStale data
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $23KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
100%
+5.5ppVol $20KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.6ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -8.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
75%
-8.0ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+8.9ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+12.2ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
-6.0ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+1.1ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
78%
+38.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+9.9ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+4.2ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
-1.0ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
19%
+1.0ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+26.4ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-2.8ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-4.5ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+49.3ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
10%
-0.5ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
1%
Vol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-33.0ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -4.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
72%
-4.5ppVol $10KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
6%
-0.3ppVol $10KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Included because probability moved -1.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
-1.9ppVol $9KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
91%
+9.5ppVol $8KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.2ppVol $8KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
6%
Vol $8KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.1ppVol $8KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
13%
-1.0ppVol $7KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Avg 24h move 3.4pp291 markets with notable movementCombined activity $31.6M
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