Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
3%
Limited history+0.1pp
24h activity $34KCloses 1 Jul 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 10% probability for this outcome, a +0.9pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
10%Recent probability movement (up 0.9pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
10%
24h Change
+0.9pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: fell 0.7pp from 11% to 10%, gradually rather than in one jump.
11%
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
11%
11 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
11%
11 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
11%
11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
10%
13 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
10%
15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.9pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 2.9% | +0.1pp | $126K | active |
| Orlando Magic | 0.8% | — | $280K | active |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.7% | — | $182K | active |
| Atlanta Hawks | 1.1% | +0.1pp | $157K | active |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 10.3% | +0.9pp | $260K | active |
| Washington Wizards | 0.8% | — | $284K | active |
| Miami Heat | 3.9% | +0.1pp | $195K | active |
| Detroit Pistons | 3.1% | — | $176K | active |
| Golden State Warriors | 1.1% | +0.1pp | $236K | active |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 1.4% | +0.3pp | $148K | active |
| Indiana Pacers | 2.0% | +0.2pp | $133K | active |
| Denver Nuggets | 3.3% | — | $309K | active |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 6.5% | — | $205K | active |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.1% | — | $653K | active |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 2.5% | — | $225K | active |
| Toronto Raptors | 3.5% | +0.1pp | $163K | active |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.1% | — | $430K | active |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.1% | — | $643K | active |
| Boston Celtics | 5.5% | — | $151K | active |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.3% | — | $185K | active |
| New York Knicks | 7.5% | -2.0pp | $167K | active |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.3% | — | $193K | active |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 19.5% | — | $275K | active |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $572K | active |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 0.3% | — | $499K | active |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.6% | — | $157K | active |
| San Antonio Spurs | 21.5% | — | $250K | active |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.5% | -0.05pp | $350K | active |
| Utah Jazz | 0.8% | — | $165K | active |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.5% | — | $218K | active |
Probability sum: 103.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jul 2027, 03:59 UTC