Sport

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Current implied probability

32%

Market data currentStable consensus

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Signal: Medium

Current

32%

24h Change

0.0pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

100

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 31.5%
No implied probability: 68.5%
Liquidity: $180K
24h activity: $1K
Lifetime volume: $422K
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 18 Aug 2026, 09:01 UTC

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Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Source event comparison

Related outcomes in one view

Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.

Outcome	Probability	24h change	Liquidity	State
Tampa Bay Rays	7.0%	-0.8pp	$123K	active
St. Louis Cardinals	0.6%	+0.3pp	$163K	active
Atlanta Braves	7.0%	+0.5pp	$154K	active
Chicago White Sox	4.2%	+1.4pp	$125K	active
Philadelphia Phillies	4.1%	+0.5pp	$116K	active
Cleveland Guardians	0.8%	+0.1pp	$165K	active
Chicago Cubs	6.0%	+0.05pp	$124K	active
Milwaukee Brewers	9.7%	+1.0pp	$136K	active
Toronto Blue Jays	1.1%	+0.3pp	$67K	active
Los Angeles Dodgers	31.5%	—	$180K	active
Arizona Diamondbacks	0.9%	-0.2pp	$165K	active
Washington Nationals	0.1%	-0.05pp	$153K	active
Baltimore Orioles	0.5%	+0.1pp	$127K	active
Texas Rangers	1.1%	—	$154K	active
Pittsburgh Pirates	0.1%	—	$196K	active
Boston Red Sox	5.3%	—	$125K	active
New York Yankees	10.5%	—	$163K	active
Seattle Mariners	1.4%	+0.1pp	$93K	active
Colorado Rockies	0.1%	—	$306K	active
Miami Marlins	0.3%	+0.05pp	$93K	active
Los Angeles Angels	0.1%	—	$345K	active
San Francisco Giants	0.1%	—	$247K	active
Cincinnati Reds	0.1%	—	$227K	active
Houston Astros	2.9%	-0.1pp	$121K	active
Detroit Tigers	1.3%	-0.05pp	$154K	active
San Diego Padres	3.0%	+0.05pp	$54K	active
Kansas City Royals	0.1%	—	$230K	active
New York Mets	0.1%	—	$104K	active
Minnesota Twins	0.5%	—	$127K	active
Athletics	0.1%	—	$225K	active

Probability sum: 100.3% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC