Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
1%
Limited history+0.5pp
24h activity $2KCloses 1 Nov 2026
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Current implied probability
44%Recent probability movement (down 1.0pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
44%
24h Change
-1.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.0pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.6% | +0.5pp | $68K | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 6.5% | — | $76K | active |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 44.0% | -1.0pp | $70K | active |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.1% | — | $56K | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 16.9% | — | $70K | active |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.5% | -0.3pp | $66K | active |
| San Diego Padres | 4.2% | — | $48K | active |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.1% | — | $54K | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.0% | +0.3pp | $68K | active |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.1% | — | $57K | active |
| New York Mets | 0.1% | — | $57K | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 13.0% | — | $70K | active |
| Miami Marlins | 0.5% | — | $76K | active |
| Chicago Cubs | 11.0% | -0.5pp | $69K | active |
| Washington Nationals | 0.2% | -0.1pp | $55K | active |
Probability sum: 99.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
1%
7%
0%
17%
1%
4%