US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Included because probability moved -5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
Category
Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.
195 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 13 of 13 matching geopolitics markets.
Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.
Included because probability moved -5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
Included because probability moved -3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
11%
Included because probability moved -4.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
Included because probability moved -2.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
11%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
84%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
11%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
33%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
41%