Geopolitics
Signal: HighMarket data current
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Category
Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.
209 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 16 of 16 matching geopolitics markets.
Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved -3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
27%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
83%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
54%
Included because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
Included because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
Included because probability moved +2.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%