US recession by end of 2026?
Included because probability moved +13.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
Category
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
491 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 13 of 13 matching finance markets.
Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.
Included because probability moved +13.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
Included because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
96%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved -2.8pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
Included because probability moved +2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
91%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
88%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
43%
Included because probability moved +2.3pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
55%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
84%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
19%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
11%
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
2%