Primary floor: ≥5pp move, ≥$10K 24h activity, ≥$1K liquidity.
Fresh consensus shiftSignal: High
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Investigate — this cleared EventAlpha's high-trust discovery floors.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? moved -9.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 11.0pp from 46% to 35%; no single sharp inflection was detected. The move was accompanied by substantial recent activity and adequate liquidity.
Ranked #1 of 40 candidates: -9.0pp move, $273K activity.
Stored-history window: fell 11.0pp from 46% to 35%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
Primary market 24h activity $273KLiquidity $322KUpdated 18 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Deadline clusterSignal: High
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Jannik Sinner
Investigate — this cleared EventAlpha's high-trust discovery floors.
Jannik Sinner moved -8.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 8.0pp from 51% to 43%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #2 of 40 candidates: -8.0pp move, $17K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Stored-history window: fell 8.0pp from 51% to 43%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
Primary market 24h activity $17KGrouped event 24h activity $272KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 18 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
6 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: High
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
↑ 75,000
Investigate — this cleared EventAlpha's high-trust discovery floors.
↑ 75,000 moved +7.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 6.0pp from 41% to 47%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #3 of 40 candidates: +7.0pp move, $13K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Stored-history window: rose 6.0pp from 41% to 47%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
Primary market 24h activity $13KGrouped event 24h activity $504KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 18 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?21% · -3.5pp
- ↑ 75,00047% · +7.0pp
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?29% · +5.5pp
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?20% · +2.0pp
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?16% · —
- ↑ 100,0008% · —
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
27 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.