Primary floor: ≥5pp move, ≥$10K 24h activity, ≥$1K liquidity.
Fresh consensus shiftSignal: High
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? moved -21.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 14.5pp, from 30% to 16%, between 14:00 and 15:00 UTC. The move was accompanied by substantial recent activity and adequate liquidity.
Ranked #1 of 40 candidates: -21.0pp move, $19K activity.
Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 14.5pp, from 30% to 16%, between 14:00 and 15:00 UTC.
Primary market 24h activity $19KLiquidity $27KUpdated 16 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Deadline clusterSignal: High
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
↑ 85,000
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
↑ 85,000 moved -14.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 6.5pp, from 70% to 77%, between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #2 of 40 candidates: -14.5pp move, $54K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 6.5pp, from 70% to 77%, between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC.
Primary market 24h activity $54KGrouped event 24h activity $218KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 16 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
30 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Fresh consensus shiftSignal: High
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? moved -12.7pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 13.5pp, from 18% to 5%, between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC. Recent activity was materially above current liquidity, supporting a real repricing rather than an isolated thin-market tick.
Ranked #3 of 40 candidates: -12.7pp move, $3.3M activity.
Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 13.5pp, from 18% to 5%, between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC.
Primary market 24h activity $3.3MLiquidity $606KUpdated 16 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTCUnexplained repricing