Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
7%
Limited history-0.8pp
24h activity $27KCloses 31 Oct 2026
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Current implied probability
7%Recent probability movement (up 0.5pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
7%
24h Change
+0.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.5pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 6.8% | -0.8pp | $136K | active |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.6% | +0.3pp | $170K | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 7.0% | +0.5pp | $143K | active |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 1.1% | -0.4pp | $69K | active |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 31.5% | -2.0pp | $174K | active |
| Chicago Cubs | 6.0% | -0.4pp | $128K | active |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0.8% | +0.2pp | $168K | active |
| Chicago White Sox | 3.5% | +0.7pp | $126K | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 9.4% | +0.9pp | $142K | active |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.5% | +0.1pp | $134K | active |
| Washington Nationals | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $158K | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 1.2% | — | $167K | active |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.1% | — | $201K | active |
| Texas Rangers | 1.1% | — | $154K | active |
| San Diego Padres | 3.0% | +0.05pp | $57K | active |
| Boston Red Sox | 5.3% | — | $133K | active |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.5% | +0.05pp | $135K | active |
| New York Yankees | 10.5% | — | $171K | active |
| Seattle Mariners | 1.4% | +0.1pp | $96K | active |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.1% | — | $307K | active |
| Miami Marlins | 0.3% | +0.05pp | $99K | active |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.1% | — | $345K | active |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.1% | — | $246K | active |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.1% | — | $228K | active |
| Houston Astros | 2.9% | -0.1pp | $126K | active |
| Detroit Tigers | 1.3% | -0.1pp | $159K | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 3.6% | +0.2pp | $121K | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.1% | — | $230K | active |
| New York Mets | 0.1% | — | $102K | active |
| Athletics | 0.1% | — | $224K | active |
Probability sum: 99.0% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
7%
1%
1%
32%
6%
1%