Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Deadline clusterSignal: Medium
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
↓ 1.00
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
↓ 1.00 moved -25.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 23.0pp, from 52% to 29%, between 08:00 and 09:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #6 of 40 candidates: -25.0pp move, $713 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $713Grouped event 24h activity $2KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 28 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
- ↓ 1.0027% · -25.0pp
- ↓ 1.2056% · +7.5pp
- ↑ 4.005% · -1.9pp
- ↑ 5.003% · +0.6pp
- ↑ 2.8013% · —
- ↑ 8.002% · —
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
10 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: Medium
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Roger Stone
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Roger Stone moved -19.1pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 18.0pp, from 23% to 5%, between 14:00 and 15:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #7 of 40 candidates: -19.1pp move, $2K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $2KGrouped event 24h activity $12KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 28 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
12 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
2 active outcomes · source-grouped
December 31
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31 moved -18.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 22.5pp from 69% to 46%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #8 of 40 candidates: -18.0pp move, $5K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $5KGrouped event 24h activity $6KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 28 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 2 source-linked outcomes
- December 3146% · -18.0pp
- September 301% · -3.3pp
Relative mispricingSignal: Low
MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Carson Benge
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Carson Benge moved +17.9pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 23.3pp from 7% to 30%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #9 of 40 candidates: +17.9pp move, $2K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $2KGrouped event 24h activity $8KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 28 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
8 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.