Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2%
Limited history-0.1pp
24h activity $393Closes 19 Dec 2026
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Current implied probability
1%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 2.4% | -0.1pp | $28K | active |
| Inter Miami CF | 28.5% | — | $15K | active |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.6% | — | $31K | active |
| Austin FC | 0.1% | — | $35K | active |
| Philadelphia Union | 0.3% | — | $33K | active |
| Chicago Fire FC | 5.0% | — | $22K | active |
| CF Montréal | 0.3% | — | $27K | active |
| Portland Timbers | 0.3% | — | $30K | active |
| Columbus Crew | 1.4% | — | $32K | active |
| Orlando City SC | 2.3% | +0.05pp | $22K | active |
| Charlotte FC | 1.4% | — | $30K | active |
| FC Cincinnati | 4.2% | — | $34K | active |
| San Diego FC | 1.6% | — | $35K | active |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 4.0% | — | $22K | active |
| New York City FC | 2.0% | — | $32K | active |
| New York Red Bulls | 1.6% | — | $34K | active |
| Minnesota United FC | 0.8% | — | $28K | active |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 2.0% | — | $34K | active |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14.8% | — | $38K | active |
| Nashville SC | 9.4% | +0.1pp | $20K | active |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.3% | — | $30K | active |
| Atlanta United FC | 0.3% | — | $31K | active |
| St. Louis City SC | 0.9% | — | $23K | active |
| FC Dallas | 1.3% | — | $15K | active |
| Sporting Kansas City | 0.3% | — | $29K | active |
| New England Revolution | 1.4% | — | $19K | active |
| Los Angeles FC | 11.5% | — | $17K | active |
| Toronto FC | 0.3% | — | $40K | active |
| LA Galaxy | 0.9% | — | $35K | active |
| D.C. United | 0.7% | — | $31K | active |
Probability sum: 101.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 19 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
2%
29%
2%
0%
0%
5%