Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
8dcdc818-77c9-46c5-ac7a-32705a3a0d78
Probability
2%
24h movement
-0.1pp
Signal: Low
24h activity $220
Liq $72K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
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Compare the probability that Bitcoin touches a range of downside price thresholds before the end of 2026.
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Lead mover: Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? · 86% · +4.0pp · 24h activity $14K
Compare the market-implied probability that Bitcoin touches each downside threshold before 2027.
8dcdc818-77c9-46c5-ac7a-32705a3a0d78
2%
-0.1pp
24h activity $220
Liq $72K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
30918f94-7397-4f66-a638-1569b554ab6a
2%
+0.1pp
24h activity $148
Liq $45K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
ebefb38d-7105-4d4b-9df7-7133f3e389a6
2%
—
24h activity $120
Liq $89K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
36311946-9663-4290-93b5-6e7b89bbb84c
2%
—
24h activity $15
Liq $109K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
1682809e-df9a-4c88-bf0b-e836b95d3e79
4%
-0.7pp
24h activity $3K
Liq $99K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
6120b659-1dae-4d5f-92be-fbea0cf15dce
5%
-1.0pp
24h activity $36K
Liq $201K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
368f662b-9069-44f6-8027-d800283de861
7%
+1.0pp
24h activity $12K
Liq $160K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
c4029782-effd-4ade-87a3-4f92b4bd345d
8%
-1.0pp
24h activity $48K
Liq $418K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
76a1d5d7-1f6c-4889-ac7d-b6ca2867f17c
16%
+1.0pp
24h activity $8K
Liq $214K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
045a542f-c955-4dbd-8033-fcca8abecffe
24%
+2.0pp
24h activity $7K
Liq $137K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
41111d45-a68e-4c66-8e94-428d1cf15641
39%
+2.0pp
24h activity $49K
Liq $21K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
73215f88-28fb-440e-a72a-0eb6f165b0ff
86%
+4.0pp
24h activity $14K
Liq $26K
1 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC