Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
9%
Limited history
24h activity $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
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Current implied probability
15%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.
Signal: LowCurrent
15%
24h Change
+2.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 2.0pp. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read; liquidity is $7K and 24h activity is $3K. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty | 8.5% | — | $23K | active |
| Indiana Fever | 14.5% | +2.0pp | $7K | active |
| Minnesota Lynx | 45.5% | +1.0pp | $24K | active |
| Washington Mystics | 1.4% | — | $19K | active |
| Atlanta Dream | 10.5% | — | $19K | active |
| Dallas Wings | 2.0% | -0.1pp | $21K | active |
| Golden State Valkyries | 7.5% | -0.6pp | $20K | active |
| Las Vegas Aces | 14.5% | — | $25K | active |
| Portland Fire | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 0.1% | — | $13K | active |
| Phoenix Mercury | 0.1% | — | $23K | active |
| Chicago Sky | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Toronto Tempo | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Connecticut Sun | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Seattle Storm | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 104.7% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the WNBA for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to named as the champion of WNBA for the 2026 season per the rules of WNBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the WNBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
9%
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1%
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2%
8%