Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Relative mispricingSignal: Low
MLB: 2026 AL West Champion
3 active outcomes · source-grouped
Houston Astros
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Houston Astros moved +24.9pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 15.0pp, from 44% to 59%, between 02:00 and 03:00 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #9 of 40 candidates: +24.9pp move, $1K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $1KGrouped event 24h activity $2KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 5 source-linked outcomes
Relative mispricingSignal: Low
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
11 active outcomes · source-grouped
$50M
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
$50M moved +22.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 19.0pp from 56% to 75%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #10 of 40 candidates: +22.0pp move, $603 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $603Grouped event 24h activity $812Liquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 11 source-linked outcomes
- $50M75% · +22.0pp
- $200M46% · +0.5pp
- $1B11% · —
- $800M14% · —
- $10B1% · —
- $7B3% · —
5 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Deadline clusterSignal: Medium
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
↑ 110
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
↑ 110 moved +19.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 17.0pp, from 58% to 75%, between 10:00 and 11:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #11 of 40 candidates: +19.5pp move, $573 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $573Grouped event 24h activity $17KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
- ↑ 11077% · +19.5pp
- ↑ 10095% · +9.0pp
- ↑ 20011% · +3.0pp
- ↓ 203% · -1.2pp
- ↓ 406% · -1.0pp
- ↑ 15020% · -6.0pp
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
22 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
5 active outcomes · source-grouped
$800B
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
$800B moved -12.9pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 13.0pp from 93% to 80%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #12 of 40 candidates: -12.9pp move, $4K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $4KGrouped event 24h activity $5KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 5 source-linked outcomes
- $800B80% · -12.9pp
- $1T73% · -5.5pp
- $1.4T69% · +5.5pp
- $1.6T59% · -6.5pp
- $1.2T69% · -6.5pp