Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Low
Pro Football: AFC North Champion
4 active outcomes in this event
Baltimore Ravens
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Baltimore Ravens moved -18.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 13.0pp, from 52% to 39%, between 19:00 and 20:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #10 of 40 moves reviewed: -18.5pp move, $1K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$1K traded in 24h$6K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 4 outcomes
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
8 active outcomes in this event
75,000-80,000
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
75,000-80,000 moved -17.9pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: fell 21.3pp from 25% to 4%, gradually rather than in one jump. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #11 of 40 moves reviewed: -17.9pp move, $2K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$2K traded in 24h$5K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 8 outcomes
- 75,000-80,0004% · -17.9pp
- 70,000-75,00015% · +2.0pp
- 55,000-60,00011% · —
- 60,000-65,00012% · —
- 85,000+6% · —
- 65,000-70,00020% · +1.2pp
2 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Cause not yet reportedSignal: Low
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
1 active outcomes in this event
December 31
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31 moved +17.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: rose 10.5pp, from 23% to 33%, between 03:00 and 04:00 UTC. The shape of the price move makes it worth a closer look.
Ranked #12 of 40 moves reviewed: +17.0pp move, $3K activity.
$3K traded in 24h$3K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 3 outcomes
Related deadlines movingSignal: Low
Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason
16 active outcomes in this event
New York Giants
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
New York Giants moved +16.5pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: rose 13.0pp from 35% to 48%, gradually rather than in one jump. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #13 of 40 moves reviewed: +16.5pp move, $3K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$3K traded in 24h$12K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 16 outcomes
10 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
16 more outcomes in this event are not shown here.