Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Related deadlines movingSignal: Medium
Will Papertrade launch a token by ___?
3 active outcomes in this event
June 30, 2027
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
June 30, 2027 moved -50.5pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: fell 48.5pp from 74% to 26%, gradually rather than in one jump. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #3 of 40 moves reviewed: -50.5pp move, $5K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$5K traded in 24h$34K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 3 outcomes
Related deadlines movingSignal: Low
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
13 active outcomes in this event
Post Malone
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Post Malone moved -23.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: rose 17.5pp, from 30% to 47%, between 05:00 and 06:00 UTC. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #9 of 40 moves reviewed: -23.0pp move, $2K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$2K traded in 24h$22K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 13 outcomes
7 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
WNBA: 2026 Champion
2 active outcomes in this event
Atlanta Dream
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Atlanta Dream moved +21.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: rose 17.5pp, from 37% to 54%, between 01:00 and 02:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #10 of 40 moves reviewed: +21.0pp move, $6K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$6K traded in 24h$10K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 15 outcomes
9 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
8 active outcomes in this event
70,000-75,000
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
70,000-75,000 moved -18.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 11.0pp, from 30% to 19%, between 07:00 and 08:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #11 of 40 moves reviewed: -18.0pp move, $4K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$4K traded in 24h$4K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 20 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 8 outcomes
- 70,000-75,00012% · -18.0pp
- 75,000-80,00041% · -0.1pp
- 55,000-60,00010% · —
- 60,000-65,00012% · +0.7pp
- 85,000+7% · -0.9pp
- 65,000-70,00020% · +2.9pp
2 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.