Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Low
Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 active outcomes in this event
Movsar Evloev
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Movsar Evloev moved -43.1pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 48.9pp, from 49% to 0%, between 21:00 and 22:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #4 of 40 moves reviewed: -43.1pp move, $9K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$9K traded in 24h$18K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 12 outcomes
6 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Low
Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
11 active outcomes in this event
Merab Dvalishvili
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Merab Dvalishvili moved -38.7pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 40.9pp, from 41% to 0%, between 20:00 and 21:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #5 of 40 moves reviewed: -38.7pp move, $2K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$2K traded in 24h$8K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 11 outcomes
5 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
WNBA: 2026 Champion
2 active outcomes in this event
Golden State Valkyries
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Golden State Valkyries moved +23.3pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: rose 25.5pp from 22% to 47%, gradually rather than in one jump. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #6 of 40 moves reviewed: +23.3pp move, $4K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$4K traded in 24h$7K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 15 outcomes
9 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Cause not yet reportedSignal: Low
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
2 active outcomes in this event
December 31, 2026
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31, 2026 moved -13.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 8.0pp, from 30% to 22%, between 13:00 and 14:00 UTC. The shape of the price move makes it worth a closer look.
Ranked #7 of 40 moves reviewed: -13.0pp move, $3K activity.
$3K traded in 24h$4K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 4 outcomes