Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Related deadlines movingSignal: Medium
Will StandX launch a token by ___?
2 active outcomes in this event
June 30, 2027
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
June 30, 2027 moved -24.3pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: fell 72.9pp from 75% to 3%, gradually rather than in one jump. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #8 of 40 moves reviewed: -24.3pp move, $9K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$9K traded in 24h$13K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 16 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 3 outcomes
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?
16 active outcomes in this event
PSD
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
PSD moved +17.6pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: rose 65.3pp from 28% to 94%, gradually rather than in one jump. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #9 of 40 moves reviewed: +17.6pp move, $5K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$5K traded in 24h$7K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 16 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 16 outcomes
- PSD94% · +17.6pp
- PSD + UDMR2% · -4.2pp
- PSD + PNL + UDMR1% · +0.3pp
- PSD + PNL + USR1% · +0.8pp
- Other1% · -5.2pp
- AUR1% · +0.3pp
10 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
16 more outcomes in this event are not shown here.
Related deadlines movingSignal: Medium
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
16 active outcomes in this event
Susie Wiles
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Susie Wiles moved +17.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: rose 17.0pp, from 21% to 38%, between 14:00 and 15:00 UTC. Other outcomes in the same event moved in the same direction, which suggests the whole event is being repriced.
Ranked #10 of 40 moves reviewed: +17.5pp move, $808 activity, other outcomes moved too.
$808 traded in 24h$2K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 16 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 16 outcomes
10 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
5 more outcomes in this event are not shown here.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
2 active outcomes in this event
Cleveland Guardians
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Cleveland Guardians moved +17.4pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: rose 18.3pp from 44% to 62%, gradually rather than in one jump. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #11 of 40 moves reviewed: +17.4pp move, $7K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$7K traded in 24h$28K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 16 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 15 outcomes
9 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.