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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
-0.4pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.0pp from 0% to 0%, gradually rather than in one jump.
0%
28 Sept 2026, 15:25 UTC
0%
28 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC
0%
28 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC
0%
28 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC
0%
28 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC
0%
2 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Dec 2026, 04:59 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 21.7% | +0.8pp | $218K | active |
| New York Yankees | 37.5% | -1.0pp | $151K | active |
| Chicago White Sox | 14.3% | -0.5pp | $63K | active |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 26.4% | +0.7pp | $109K | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Houston Astros | 0.0% | -4.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Athletics | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.0% | -1.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.0% | -0.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Boston Red Sox | 0.0% | -5.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Seattle Mariners | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Texas Rangers | 0.0% | -1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 100.0% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)