Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Deadline clusterSignal: Medium
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
↓ 70
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
↓ 70 moved +20.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 14.0pp, from 34% to 48%, between 07:00 and 08:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #5 of 40 candidates: +20.0pp move, $743 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $743Grouped event 24h activity $7KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 29 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
- ↑ 10066% · -15.5pp
- ↑ 15014% · -0.5pp
- ↑ 11052% · -11.5pp
- ↓ 7054% · +20.0pp
- ↑ 14016% · -4.0pp
- ↑ 12034% · -1.0pp
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
22 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Unexplained investigationSignal: Low
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
2 active outcomes · source-grouped
December 31
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31 moved +16.4pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 0.2pp from 66% to 66%; no single sharp inflection was detected. The structured price path makes the change worth checking.
Ranked #6 of 40 candidates: +16.4pp move, $1K activity.
Primary market 24h activity $1KGrouped event 24h activity $1KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 29 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 5 source-linked outcomes
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
10 active outcomes · source-grouped
$2B
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
$2B moved -8.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 9.0pp, from 58% to 49%, between 02:00 and 03:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #7 of 40 candidates: -8.5pp move, $736 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $736Grouped event 24h activity $995Liquidity per outcomeUpdated 29 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 10 source-linked outcomes
- $2B50% · -8.5pp
- $1B56% · -3.0pp
- $500M61% · —
- $10B16% · —
- $12B12% · +0.5pp
- $8B14% · —
4 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Relative mispricingSignal: Low
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
5 active outcomes · source-grouped
October
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
October moved -8.2pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 6.3pp, from 10% to 4%, between 15:25 and 16:00 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #8 of 40 candidates: -8.2pp move, $2K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $2KGrouped event 24h activity $24KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 29 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 12 source-linked outcomes
6 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.