Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
Multipli.fi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
10 active outcomes · source-grouped
$300M
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
$300M moved +46.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 46.0pp from 17% to 63%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #6 of 40 candidates: +46.0pp move, $532 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $532Grouped event 24h activity $1KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 21 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 10 source-linked outcomes
- $300M63% · +46.0pp
- $500M11% · +0.3pp
- $200M72% · -7.0pp
- $150M79% · -2.0pp
- $250M63% · +24.5pp
- $20M99% · -0.4pp
4 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
3 active outcomes · source-grouped
September 30
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
September 30 moved -37.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 19.0pp, from 35% to 16%, between 21:00 and 22:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #7 of 40 candidates: -37.0pp move, $4K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $4KGrouped event 24h activity $36KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 21 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 9 source-linked outcomes
3 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Los Angeles Chargers
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Los Angeles Chargers moved -24.5pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 24.5pp from 48% to 23%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #8 of 40 candidates: -24.5pp move, $655 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $655Grouped event 24h activity $7KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 21 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
16 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Relative mispricingSignal: Low
Pro Football: NFC North Champion
4 active outcomes · source-grouped
Chicago Bears
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Chicago Bears moved -20.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 18.0pp, from 35% to 17%, between 19:00 and 20:00 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #9 of 40 candidates: -20.0pp move, $2K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $2KGrouped event 24h activity $3KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 21 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 4 source-linked outcomes