Finance
Signal: MediumMarket data current
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
99%
Limited history+0.3pp
24h activity $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
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Current implied probability
9%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
9%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEIN | 99.1% | +0.3pp | $2K | active |
| Anthropic | 79.5% | — | $13K | active |
| OpenAI | 20.0% | +2.0pp | $9K | active |
| Discord | 28.8% | +0.9pp | $2K | active |
| Ripple Labs | 6.0% | — | $1K | active |
| Ledger | 10.5% | +1.5pp | $1K | active |
| Databricks | 9.0% | -0.5pp | $326 | active |
| Anduril | 7.0% | — | $4K | active |
| Stripe | 1.8% | — | $3K | active |
| Freddie Mac | 2.0% | -0.3pp | $1K | active |
| Brex | 1.2% | — | $3K | active |
| Celonis | 9.5% | — | $174 | active |
| Applied Intuition | 12.4% | +0.1pp | $1K | active |
| Fannie Mae | 6.5% | — | $5K | active |
| Mistral AI | 8.5% | — | $5K | active |
| Ramp | 8.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Vanta | 8.5% | — | $2K | active |
| Deel | 4.5% | — | $5K | active |
| Rippling | 10.5% | — | $274 | active |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 0.7% | — | $687 | active |
| Epic Games | 6.0% | +0.1pp | $1K | active |
| Revolut | 5.5% | — | $2K | active |
| Remote | 12.0% | — | $227 | active |
| Waymo | 3.0% | — | $1K | active |
| Glean | 8.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Anduril Industries | 8.5% | — | $4K | active |
| Canva | 3.9% | — | $1K | active |
| ByteDance | 10.5% | — | $877 | active |
| WHOOP | 7.5% | — | $2K | active |
| xAI | 0.0% | -12.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Once Upon a Farm | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Wealthfront | 100.0% | +0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| SpaceX | 100.0% | +0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cerebras | 100.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
99%
80%
20%
29%
6%
11%