Crypto

Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

46%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTCLow-confidence move-7.5pp (24h)

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. Signal quality is low because a confidence cap is active in the latest market state.

Signal: Low

Current

46%

24h Change

-7.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is down 7.5pp. Liquidity and activity are strong enough to treat this as a more reliable consensus shift.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 45.5%
No implied probability: 54.5%
Liquidity: $8K
Market Activity: $24K
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTC

View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

10%

-1.0pp

Vol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027