Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Unexplained investigationSignal: Low
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
1 active outcomes · source-grouped
December 31
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31 moved +85.3pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 69.1pp, from 15% to 84%, between 02:00 and 03:00 UTC. The move pushed the market toward a resolution extreme.
Ranked #2 of 40 candidates: +85.3pp move, $2K activity.
Primary market 24h activity $2KGrouped event 24h activity $4KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 5 source-linked outcomes
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
François Hollande
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
François Hollande moved +26.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 19.5pp, from 42% to 62%, between 19:00 and 20:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #6 of 40 candidates: +26.5pp move, $2K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $2KGrouped event 24h activity $4KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
30 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: Medium
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
15 active outcomes · source-grouped
↑ 1300
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
↑ 1300 moved +24.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 19.5pp, from 10% to 30%, between 09:00 and 10:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #7 of 40 candidates: +24.0pp move, $946 activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $946Grouped event 24h activity $19KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
- ↑ 100022% · -7.0pp
- ↑ 130034% · +24.0pp
- ↑ 140028% · +18.9pp
- ↑ 120020% · +2.0pp
- ↓ 40022% · +11.0pp
- ↑ 15007% · +0.4pp
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
2 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
WNBA: 2026 Champion
8 active outcomes · source-grouped
Minnesota Lynx
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Minnesota Lynx moved -19.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 11.0pp, from 40% to 29%, between 19:00 and 20:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #8 of 40 candidates: -19.0pp move, $6K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $6KGrouped event 24h activity $39KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 15 source-linked outcomes
9 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.