Primary discovery only: ≥5pp move, ≥$10K activity, ≥$1K liquidity. Named events and moves first — not category vibes.
Deadline clusterSignal: High
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Augusto Cury
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
Augusto Cury moved +10.6pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 16.8pp from 4% to 21%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #1 of 40 candidates: +10.6pp move, $16K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $16KGrouped event 24h activity $43KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Aug 2026, 22:03 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
3 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: High
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
↑ 90,000
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
↑ 90,000 moved +9.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 4.0pp, from 49% to 45%, between 14:00 and 15:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #2 of 40 candidates: +9.0pp move, $34K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $34KGrouped event 24h activity $356KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Aug 2026, 22:03 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
- ↑ 90,00057% · +9.0pp
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?6% · —
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?31% · +5.5pp
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?60% · -7.5pp
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?42% · +8.5pp
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?10% · —
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
30 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Deadline clusterSignal: High
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
2 active outcomes · source-grouped
October 31
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
October 31 moved -6.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 6.5pp, from 16% to 22%, between 08:01 and 09:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #3 of 40 candidates: -6.5pp move, $17K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $17KGrouped event 24h activity $102KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Aug 2026, 22:03 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 6 source-linked outcomes
Relative mispricingSignal: High
Largest Company end of December 2026?
8 active outcomes · source-grouped
NVIDIA
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
NVIDIA moved +6.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 9.0pp from 72% to 81%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #4 of 40 candidates: +6.0pp move, $13K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $13KGrouped event 24h activity $79KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 27 Aug 2026, 22:03 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 8 source-linked outcomes
2 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Fresh consensus shiftSignal: High
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
This cleared the participation bar — worth checking before you open Polymarket.
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? moved +5.8pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 10.3pp from 88% to 98%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Recent activity was materially above current liquidity, supporting a real repricing rather than an isolated thin-market tick.
Ranked #5 of 40 candidates: +5.8pp move, $75K activity.
Primary market 24h activity $75KLiquidity $39KUpdated 27 Aug 2026, 22:03 UTCUnexplained repricing