EAEventAlpha
Politics

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by March 31, 2026?

0%Synced 9 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTCResolution update
Resolved market — this move reflects resolution, not a fresh probability signal.

Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

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Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

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Yes implied probability
0.0%
No implied probability
100.0%
Liquidity
Not available
Market Activity
$27K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
9 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by March 31, 2026?

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

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