Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppVol $214KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Markets
Tracked markets
Read-only market intelligence from stored Polymarket data. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
Synced 4 Jul 2026, 02:02 UTC
Showing 36 of 38 matching markets.
Active markets
Ranked by 24h volume and overall activity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppVol $141KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved -11.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-11.2ppVol $117KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Geopolitics
HighFresh
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +6.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
21%
+6.5ppVol $117KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +10.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
+10.2ppVol $108KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+4.1ppVol $93KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-3.1ppVol $62KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
13%
-35.7ppVol $61KCloses 1 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $61KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+12.2ppVol $48KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+3.4ppVol $42KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Included because probability moved -3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
-3.5ppVol $31KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppVol $25KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
89%
+4.0ppVol $24KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
44%
+5.0ppVol $23KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
100%
+5.2ppVol $20KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -8.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
75%
-8.0ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+8.9ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+12.2ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Politics
MediumStale data
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
61%
+9.5ppVol $18KCloses 31 Jul 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
HighFresh
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Included because probability moved -7.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
37%
-7.0ppVol $17KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Included because probability moved +3.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
+3.1ppVol $17KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+9.0ppVol $17KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
-4.0ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Geopolitics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
+8.5ppVol $14KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
78%
+38.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
73%
+5.5ppVol $13KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -13.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
-13.0ppVol $13KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+9.9ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+4.2ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+26.4ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-4.5ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Included because probability moved +20.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
49%
+20.0ppVol $11KCloses 31 Jul 2026