Geopolitics
Signal: HighMarket data current
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
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Category
Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.
208 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 14 of 14 matching geopolitics markets.
Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
13%
Included because probability moved +6.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
85%
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
54%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
Included because probability moved +1.7pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
Included because probability moved +2.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
Included because probability moved +1.6pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
11%