Geopolitics
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
84%
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Category
Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.
208 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 26 of 26 matching geopolitics markets.
Ranked by nearest active close date.
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
84%
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
94%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.3pp.
High activity
2%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
1%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.6pp.
High activity
3%
Included because probability moved -3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
13%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
8%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
Included because probability moved +1.6pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
15%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.8pp.
High activity
5%
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
6%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
16%
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
8%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
54%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
27%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
Included because probability moved -6.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
11%
Included because probability moved +1.9pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
Included because probability moved +2.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%