Markets Daily Brief Following Track record About

Loading the latest market intelligence…

EventAlphaMarket Intelligence

Independent market intelligence built from Polymarket market data.

An information and research product—not a trading platform.

Markets

What's moving now
All markets
Upcoming deadlines
Crypto
Politics
Sport
Finance
Tech / AI
Geopolitics

Resources

Daily Brief
Brief archive
Following
Track record
Insights
Methodology
All topics
Brief RSS

Company

About
Terms of Use
Privacy Policy
Disclaimer

EventAlpha is an independent information and research product, not a trading platform. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Polymarket. EventAlpha uses third-party market data that may be delayed, incomplete, or unavailable. Nothing shown is financial advice or a guarantee of any outcome.

Geopolitics Polymarket Markets — EventAlpha

Geopolitics

Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.

195 markets in scope in this category.

SearchSignalSort

Reset

Toss-ups Big movers High activity Closing soon Near-certain

Showing 5 of 5 matching geopolitics markets.

Markets in this category

Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.

Geopolitics

Signal: HighMarket data current

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Included because probability moved -4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

11%

Avg 24h move 1.6pp22 markets with notable movementCombined lifetime volume $9.4M

Back to homepage analytics

↘-4.0pp

24h activity $98KCloses 1 Jan 2027

Geopolitics

Signal: HighMarket data current

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

11%

↘-2.0pp

24h activity $25KCloses 1 Nov 2026

Geopolitics

Signal: HighMarket data current

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

10%

↘-1.0pp

24h activity $10KCloses 1 Jul 2027

Geopolitics

Signal: HighMarket data current

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

↗+1.0pp

24h activity $21KCloses 1 Jan 2027

Geopolitics

Signal: HighMarket data current

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

11%

↘-1.0pp

24h activity $60KCloses 1 Jan 2027