Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Relative mispricingSignal: Medium
MLB: Team to make postseason
4 active outcomes · source-grouped
Philadelphia Phillies
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Philadelphia Phillies moved -24.7pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 30.3pp from 98% to 68%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #3 of 40 candidates: -24.7pp move, $4K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $4KGrouped event 24h activity $6KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
14 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Relative mispricingSignal: Medium
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
8 active outcomes · source-grouped
2.5–2.9%
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
2.5–2.9% moved -18.9pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 18.6pp, from 36% to 17%, between 22:00 and 23:00 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #4 of 40 candidates: -18.9pp move, $3K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $3KGrouped event 24h activity $5KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 8 source-linked outcomes
- 3.5-3.9%31% · +16.1pp
- 2.5–2.9%17% · -18.9pp
- 4.0%+6% · +5.0pp
- 1.0–1.4%2% · -0.3pp
- 1.5–1.9%1% · —
- <1.0%1% · +0.3pp
2 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Deadline clusterSignal: Low
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
7 active outcomes · source-grouped
25-29.9%
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
25-29.9% moved -15.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: fell 13.5pp, from 47% to 33%, between 22:00 and 23:00 UTC. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #5 of 40 candidates: -15.5pp move, $5K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $5KGrouped event 24h activity $18KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 7 source-linked outcomes
- 25-29.9%30% · -15.5pp
- 30.0-34.9%61% · +8.9pp
- 20-24.9%0% · -0.3pp
- <20%0% · -0.2pp
- 40-44.9%1% · -0.6pp
- 45%+1% · -0.6pp
1 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Relative mispricingSignal: Medium
What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
7 active outcomes · source-grouped
↑ 14,000
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
↑ 14,000 moved +15.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 10.0pp, from 5% to 15%, between 08:00 and 09:00 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #6 of 40 candidates: +15.0pp move, $1K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $1KGrouped event 24h activity $3KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 26 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 8 source-linked outcomes
- ↑ 14,00020% · +15.0pp
- ↓ 8,0005% · -9.8pp
- ↓ 10,00015% · -1.5pp
- ↓ 6,0009% · -0.2pp
- ↑ 18,0004% · +0.05pp
- ↑ 16,0004% · +0.05pp
2 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.