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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 100% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+0.05pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Stored-history window: rose 0.0pp from 100% to 100%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
100%
22 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC
100%
22 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC
100%
22 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC
100%
22 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC
100%
22 Sept 2026, 05:00 UTC
100%
26 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 67.0% | -26.5pp | $7K | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 27.6% | +18.3pp | $4K | active |
| Houston Astros | 79.5% | +16.5pp | $2K | active |
| Texas Rangers | 22.5% | -13.5pp | $3K | active |
| San Diego Padres | 100.0% | +13.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.0% | -1.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Seattle Mariners | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Washington Nationals | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cleveland Guardians | 100.0% | +1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Chicago White Sox | 100.0% | +1.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Boston Red Sox | 100.0% | +3.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Chicago Cubs | 100.0% | +1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Miami Marlins | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| New York Yankees | 100.0% | +0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| New York Mets | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Athletics | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 100.0% | +0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Atlanta Braves | 100.0% | +0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 100.0% | +0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.