Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Relative mispricingSignal: Medium
MLB: Batting Average Leader
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Yordan Alvarez
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Yordan Alvarez moved +30.5pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 52.5pp from 41% to 93%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #5 of 40 candidates: +30.5pp move, $1K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $1KGrouped event 24h activity $5KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
18 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Relative mispricingSignal: Low
WNBA: 2026 Defensive Player of the Year
12 active outcomes · source-grouped
Angel Reese
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Angel Reese moved +30.4pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 31.0pp from 43% to 74%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #6 of 40 candidates: +30.4pp move, $1K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $1KGrouped event 24h activity $5KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 12 source-linked outcomes
6 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Deadline clusterSignal: Medium
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 active outcomes · source-grouped
Lula da Silva <5%
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Lula da Silva <5% moved +13.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: rose 13.5pp from 53% to 67%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #7 of 40 candidates: +13.0pp move, $8K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $8KGrouped event 24h activity $23KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 11 source-linked outcomes
5 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
Relative mispricingSignal: Medium
Vermont Governor Election Winner
2 active outcomes · source-grouped
Amanda Janoo (D)
Interesting move, but the market looks thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Amanda Janoo (D) moved +12.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 8.3pp, from 6% to 14%, between 20:00 and 21:00 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #8 of 40 candidates: +12.5pp move, $6K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Primary market 24h activity $6KGrouped event 24h activity $11KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 25 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 2 source-linked outcomes