Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?
54%
Limited history-2.5pp
24h activity $129Closes 8 Oct 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 1% probability for this outcome, a -0.4pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
1%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
-0.4pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Stored-history window: fell 0.8pp from 2% to 1%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
2%
18 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC
1%
18 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
1%
18 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
1%
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
0%
22 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC
1%
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.4pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $702 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | 54.0% | -2.5pp | $900 | active |
| Angel Reese | 43.2% | +7.7pp | $929 | active |
| Brittney Griner | 0.5% | -0.3pp | $703 | active |
| Cameron Brink | 0.4% | -0.05pp | $727 | active |
| A'ja Wilson | 3.6% | -1.4pp | $1K | active |
| Aliya Boston | 0.3% | -0.05pp | $788 | active |
| Breanna Stewart | 2.5% | +0.2pp | $880 | active |
| Napheesa Collier | 0.7% | -0.4pp | $702 | active |
| Alanna Smith | 0.9% | -0.1pp | $705 | active |
| Ezi Magbegor | 0.4% | -0.05pp | $593 | active |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith | 0.3% | — | $792 | active |
Probability sum: 106.9% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 8 Oct 2026, 03:59 UTC