Moves that passed basic credibility gates but not the primary discovery floors. Monitor, do not treat as equal to the overnight shortlist.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Low
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
9 active outcomes in this event
$ANT
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
$ANT moved +30.0pp over 24 hours. Over the tracked window: rose 27.2pp from 24% to 51%, gradually rather than in one jump. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #5 of 40 moves reviewed: +30.0pp move, $6K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$6K traded in 24h$8K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 9 outcomes
- $ANT51% · +30.0pp
- $ANTH24% · -8.5pp
- $CLD1% · +0.05pp
- $APBC5% · +0.2pp
- $CLDE6% · -0.1pp
- $ANAI1% · —
3 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Low
MLB: AL Manager of the Year
16 active outcomes in this event
Kevin Cash
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Kevin Cash moved -15.3pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: fell 14.3pp, from 18% to 4%, between 22:00 and 23:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #6 of 40 moves reviewed: -15.3pp move, $2K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$2K traded in 24h$7K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 16 outcomes
10 more outcomes are on the full analysis page.
Outcomes divergingSignal: Medium
OH-10 House Election Winner
2 active outcomes in this event
Mike Turner (R)
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
Mike Turner (R) moved +12.5pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: rose 9.0pp, from 66% to 75%, between 13:00 and 14:00 UTC. It moved against another outcome in the same event, so the balance between outcomes has shifted.
Ranked #7 of 40 moves reviewed: +12.5pp move, $3K activity, other outcomes moved too.
$3K traded in 24h$4K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 2 outcomes
Cause not yet reportedSignal: Medium
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
1 active outcomes in this event
December 31
Interesting move, but trading is thin. Treat it as a weaker signal.
December 31 moved -11.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest move: rose 11.0pp, from 18% to 29%, between 21:00 and 22:00 UTC. The shape of the price move makes it worth a closer look.
Ranked #8 of 40 moves reviewed: -11.0pp move, $2K activity.
$2K traded in 24h$2K traded across the eventLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 23 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTCCause not yet reported
Compare 3 outcomes