Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -3.7pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
41%
-3.7ppVol $221KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Markets
Tracked markets
Read-only market intelligence from stored Polymarket data. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
Synced 4 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC
Showing 36 of 360 matching markets.
Active markets
Ranked by 24h volume and overall activity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
46%
+6.0ppVol $133KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved -10.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-10.0ppVol $125KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Geopolitics
HighFresh
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +6.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
21%
+6.5ppVol $117KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
+10.5ppVol $110KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+4.1ppVol $93KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Included because probability moved -3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
-3.0ppVol $68KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-3.1ppVol $62KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
13%
-35.7ppVol $61KCloses 1 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $61KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+12.2ppVol $48KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+3.4ppVol $42KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $35KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+4.0ppVol $32KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Included because probability moved -3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
-3.5ppVol $31KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
89%
+4.0ppVol $24KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
40%
-3.5ppVol $24KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +13.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+13.0ppVol $21KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
100%
+5.5ppVol $20KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
HighFresh
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included because probability moved +3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
+3.5ppVol $20KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -8.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
75%
-8.0ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+8.9ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+12.2ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Politics
HighFresh
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
+3.0ppVol $18KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
61%
+9.5ppVol $18KCloses 31 Jul 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
HighFresh
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Included because probability moved -7.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
37%
-7.0ppVol $17KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Included because probability moved -4.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
74%
-4.5ppVol $16KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
-6.0ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
78%
+38.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Geopolitics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
+9.0ppVol $14KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
47%
+6.0ppVol $13KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -11.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
-11.5ppVol $13KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Included because probability moved +7.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
77%
+7.5ppVol $13KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+9.9ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028