Sport
HighFresh
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +2.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
36%
+2.1ppVol $2.2MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Markets
Tracked markets
Read-only market intelligence from stored Polymarket data. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
Synced 4 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC
Showing 36 of 360 matching markets.
Active markets
Ranked by 24h volume and overall activity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -3.7pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
41%
-3.7ppVol $221KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
46%
+6.0ppVol $133KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
+5.0ppVol $131KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved -1.8pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
42%
-1.8ppVol $114KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
57%
Vol $107KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
-2.5ppVol $86KCloses 30 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
-4.5ppVol $65KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
40%
-0.5ppVol $65KCloses 11 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
41%
+1.0ppVol $64KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
+7.0ppVol $62KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
63%
Vol $62KCloses 5 Oct 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
-1.5ppVol $51KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-4.5ppVol $44KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+1.0ppVol $43KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-2.0ppVol $41KCloses 18 Aug 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-4.5ppVol $41KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
37%
+0.5ppVol $40KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
51%
Vol $38KCloses 17 Oct 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
43%
Vol $37KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $35KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Low-confidence: move is +8.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
-8.5ppVol $34KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
39%
-3.5ppVol $32KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
44%
Vol $31KCloses 3 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Joey Bosa play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+1.0ppVol $30KCloses 31 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
55%
Vol $29KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-2.0ppVol $28KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
62%
Vol $27KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
61%
Vol $27KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
52%
+0.3ppVol $27KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+1.0ppVol $26KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+1.0ppVol $25KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
LowFresh
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
-6.5ppVol $24KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
40%
-3.5ppVol $24KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
56%
-0.5ppVol $23KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
38%
-1.0ppVol $21KCloses 1 Jan 2028