Geopolitics
Signal: HighMarket data current
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
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Markets
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Showing 15 of 51 matching markets.
Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
37%
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
69%
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
96%
Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
83%