Category
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 250 matching sport markets.
Showing 1-36 of 250 markets.
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Low-confidence: move is +5.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-5.8ppLow-confidence: move is +6.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
15%
+6.8ppIncluded because probability moved -3.7pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
41%
-3.7ppLow-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
-3.0ppIncluded because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
46%
+6.0ppLow-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
+5.0ppIncluded because probability moved -10.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-10.0ppIncluded because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
+10.5ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+4.1ppLow-confidence: move is +20.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
31%
+20.3ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-3.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
13%
-35.7ppLow-confidence: move is +12.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
4%
-12.6ppLow-confidence: move is +18.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
24%
-18.0ppIncluded because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppLow-confidence: move is +3.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-3.3ppIncluded because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+4.0ppLow-confidence: move is +8.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
-8.4ppIncluded because probability moved -3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
40%
-3.5ppLow-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+6.5ppIncluded because probability moved +3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
+3.5ppIncluded because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
47%
+6.0ppIncluded because probability moved -11.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
-11.5ppLow-confidence: move is +3.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
57%
+3.1ppLow-confidence: move is +6.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
76%
+6.3ppLow-confidence: move is +9.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
+9.5ppLow-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
-4.5ppIncluded because probability moved +3.4pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+3.4ppLow-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
83%
-3.5ppLow-confidence: move is +11.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
+11.8ppIncluded because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+5.5ppLow-confidence: move is +3.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+3.4ppLow-confidence: move is +11.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
-11.0ppLow-confidence: move is +38.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+38.9ppLow-confidence: move is +12.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
75%
-12.8ppLow-confidence: move is +32.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+32.8pp