Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
8%
Limited history-0.05pp
24h activity $2KCloses 26 Jan 2027
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 13% probability for this outcome, a +1.9pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
13%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
13%
24h Change
+1.9pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest move: rose 2.6pp, from 10% to 13%, between 07:00 and 08:00 UTC.
10%
28 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC
11%
28 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC
11%
28 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC
11%
28 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC
13%
1 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
13%
2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 1.9pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $249K and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers | 7.5% | -0.05pp | $132K | active |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 15.9% | — | $410K | active |
| Mississippi Rebels | 1.6% | -0.1pp | $20K | active |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 1.1% | +0.5pp | $14K | active |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 0.8% | — | $23K | active |
| Florida Gators | 6.0% | +0.1pp | $19K | active |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 0.7% | — | $17K | active |
| USC Trojans | 1.1% | — | $17K | active |
| Oregon Ducks | 4.8% | — | $30K | active |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 3.4% | -0.1pp | $16K | active |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 13.5% | — | $253K | active |
| LSU Tigers | 5.0% | -0.3pp | $31K | active |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12.5% | — | $106K | active |
| Texas Longhorns | 15.5% | — | $114K | active |
| Miami Hurricanes | 13.3% | +1.9pp | $249K | active |
| Michigan Wolverines | 0.5% | — | $24K | active |
Probability sum: 102.9% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 26 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC