Politics
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
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Category
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
2,858 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 22 of 94 matching politics markets.
Showing 73-94 of 94 markets.
Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
Included because probability moved +1.4pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
95%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
Included because probability moved -2.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
91%
Included because probability moved -1.4pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
91%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
53%
Included because probability moved +1.4pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
95%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
95%
Included because probability moved +1.3pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
99%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
22%
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%