Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,959 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 325-360 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Emma Navarro be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.05ppVol $2KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +27.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-27.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.1ppVol $2KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
23%
+0.1ppVol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $2KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
67%
+1.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.2ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Included because probability moved +2.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
+2.9ppVol $2KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $2KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
10%
-0.4ppVol $1KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Phil Foden win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
Vol $1KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-7.0ppVol $1KCloses 11 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Included because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+6.0ppVol $1KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Estevao win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $1KCloses 31 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.7ppVol $1KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
5%
-0.4ppVol $1KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
56%
+2.0ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+3.0ppVol $1KCloses 11 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Included because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
22%
+2.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
-1.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Included because probability moved +2.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+2.3ppVol $1KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
100%
+0.1ppVol $1KCloses 3 Nov 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Included because probability moved -4.6pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
0%
-4.6ppVol $1KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.8pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.8ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Petr Yan fight Alexander Volkanovski next?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.3ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
+1.0ppVol $1KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Included because probability moved +4.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
+4.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing USA be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Included because probability moved +3.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
+3.9ppVol $1KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Beatriz Haddad Maia be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $1KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp449 markets with notable movementCombined activity $12.1M
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