Sport
MediumFresh
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $22.6MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 186 matching sport markets.
Showing 1-36 of 186 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
+0.1ppVol $14.7MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $9.7MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.3ppVol $8.9MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.2ppVol $7.2MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.1ppVol $6.2MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -1.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-1.3ppVol $5.4MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.1ppVol $5.3MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $5.0MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.1pp.
High activity
3%
+0.1ppVol $4.8MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
2%
-0.2ppVol $4.4MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $4.4MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
-1.1ppVol $3.7MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.7pp.
High activity
13%
+0.7ppVol $3.2MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.2pp.
High activity
3%
+0.2ppVol $3.2MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $2.9MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.7pp.
High activity
7%
-0.7ppVol $2.7MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
3%
-0.1ppVol $2.6MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $2.3MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.2pp.
High activity
3%
+0.2ppVol $2.3MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $2.3MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +2.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
36%
+2.1ppVol $2.2MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
7%
Vol $2.1MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.3pp.
High activity
1%
-0.3ppVol $2.1MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $1.9MCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $1.8MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.1ppVol $1.7MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
2%
-0.1ppVol $1.7MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
6%
+0.3ppVol $1.6MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $1.5MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $1.5MCloses 13 Sept 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $1.5MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
5%
+0.05ppVol $1.4MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.1ppVol $1.1MCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $949KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $898KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Avg 24h move 3.0pp463 markets with notable movementCombined activity $3136.4M
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