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Last recorded probability
100%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
100%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 0.1% | -0.3pp | $10K | awaiting resolution |
| Miami Heat | 100.0% | +0.3pp | $191K | awaiting resolution |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.1% | — | $5K | awaiting resolution |
| Detroit Pistons | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Atlanta Hawks | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Golden State Warriors | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $15K | awaiting resolution |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $38K | awaiting resolution |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.1% | — | $5K | awaiting resolution |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $36K | awaiting resolution |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.1% | — | $39K | awaiting resolution |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $34K | awaiting resolution |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Orlando Magic | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| San Antonio Spurs | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $33K | awaiting resolution |
| Toronto Raptors | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Indiana Pacers | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $1K | awaiting resolution |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| New York Knicks | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $34K | awaiting resolution |
| Houston Rockets | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Utah Jazz | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.1% | — | $34K | awaiting resolution |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.1% | — | $33K | awaiting resolution |
| Washington Wizards | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Denver Nuggets | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.1% | — | $34K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.