Sport
MediumFresh
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.2ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,959 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 289-324 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $4KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.3ppVol $4KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $4KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $4KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $4KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $4KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $4KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.05ppVol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
4%
+0.2ppVol $3KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
7%
-0.4ppVol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Low-confidence: move is +1.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-1.4ppVol $3KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.05ppVol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $3KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Maja Chwalinska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.4ppVol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.1ppVol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
2%
-0.3ppVol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
Vol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
+1.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.3ppVol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.1ppVol $3KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-1.0ppVol $3KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Low-confidence: move is +13.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
62%
+13.0ppVol $3KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.2ppVol $3KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
Low-confidence: move is +9.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+9.0ppVol $3KCloses 11 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Included because probability moved +1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
+1.1ppVol $3KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
22%
+1.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
64%
+1.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Avg 24h move 2.9pp456 markets with notable movementCombined activity $72.3M
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