Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppVol $214KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Markets
Tracked markets
Read-only market intelligence from stored Polymarket data. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
Synced 4 Jul 2026, 02:02 UTC
Showing 21 of 21 matching markets.
Active markets
Ranked by 24h volume and overall activity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppVol $141KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
41%
+0.3ppVol $105KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
39%
-0.5ppVol $72KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
55%
Vol $30KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
61%
Vol $27KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppVol $25KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+1.0ppVol $25KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
56%
-0.5ppVol $23KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
44%
+5.0ppVol $23KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
48%
+0.5ppVol $18KCloses 9 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
61%
+9.5ppVol $18KCloses 31 Jul 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Politics
HighFresh
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Included because probability moved -7.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
37%
-7.0ppVol $17KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Included because probability moved +3.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
+3.1ppVol $17KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+9.0ppVol $17KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-1.1ppVol $15KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
HighFresh
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-1.0ppVol $12KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
HighFresh
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Included because probability moved +20.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
49%
+20.0ppVol $11KCloses 31 Jul 2026
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
40%
Vol $10KCloses 31 Dec 2026