Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+12.2ppVol $48KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Category
Crypto
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 26 of 26 matching crypto markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+3.4ppVol $42KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowStale data
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.7ppVol $26KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+1.0ppVol $25KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowStale data
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $23KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
100%
+5.5ppVol $20KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.6ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -8.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
75%
-8.0ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+8.9ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+12.2ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
-6.0ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+1.1ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
78%
+38.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+9.9ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+4.2ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
-1.0ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
19%
+1.0ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+26.4ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-2.8ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-4.5ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+49.3ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
10%
-0.5ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
1%
Vol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-33.0ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Avg 24h move 3.4pp291 markets with notable movementCombined activity $11.9M
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