Crypto
LowFresh
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
31%
-4.5ppVol $101KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Category
Crypto
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 208 matching crypto markets.
Showing 1-36 of 208 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
+4.5ppVol $78KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +16.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-16.5ppVol $78KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +16.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-16.0ppVol $67KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
+7.0ppVol $62KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+12.2ppVol $48KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-4.5ppVol $44KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+3.4ppVol $42KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-4.5ppVol $41KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Low-confidence: move is +8.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
-8.5ppVol $34KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-5.0ppVol $23KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
30%
-6.0ppVol $23KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
100%
+5.5ppVol $20KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-6.5ppVol $20KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
44%
-4.5ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -8.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
75%
-8.0ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+8.9ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+12.2ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
+4.0ppVol $18KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
-3.0ppVol $18KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
25%
-4.0ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
-6.0ppVol $15KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
78%
+38.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $14KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
57%
+4.0ppVol $13KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
34%
+3.0ppVol $13KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+9.9ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+4.2ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+26.4ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-4.5ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
68%
+8.0ppVol $12KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +10.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
22%
-10.0ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
19%
-3.5ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
94%
+49.3ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumStale data
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-33.0ppVol $11KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Avg 24h move 3.4pp291 markets with notable movementCombined activity $4.3M
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