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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 100% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+3.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.0pp from 100% to 100%, gradually rather than in one jump.
100%
2 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
100%
2 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC
100%
2 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
100%
2 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
100%
2 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
100%
6 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 23:59 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un | 19.5% | +1.0pp | $27K | active |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 4.5% | — | $20K | active |
| Vladimir Putin | 81.0% | -1.5pp | $19K | active |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 66.0% | -3.5pp | $29K | active |
| Aleksandr Lukashenko | 12.0% | -1.5pp | $14K | active |
| Pope Leo XIV | 3.5% | — | $21K | active |
| iShowSpeed | 3.9% | — | $18K | active |
| MrBeast | 7.5% | — | $19K | active |
| King Mohammed VI | 15.5% | +0.5pp | $13K | active |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 2.0% | — | $24K | active |
| Nick Fuentes | 1.6% | — | $15K | active |
| Changpeng Zhao | 10.5% | — | $20K | active |
| Lai Ching-te | 3.5% | — | $22K | active |
| Nicolás Maduro | 4.5% | — | $17K | active |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100.0% | +1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ali Khamenei | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Abdel Fattah El-Sisi | 100.0% | +1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Friedrich Merz | 100.0% | +1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Maria Corina Machado | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Javier Milei | 100.0% | +6.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Xi Jinping | 100.0% | +0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 100.0% | +3.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 100.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Keir Starmer | 100.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Giorgia Meloni | 100.0% | +1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Lula da Silva | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.