Politics
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
18%
Limited history+2.5pp
24h activity $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
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Current implied probability
28%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
28%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un | 17.5% | +2.5pp | $19K | active |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 4.5% | -0.3pp | $37K | active |
| Vladimir Putin | 39.0% | -4.5pp | $20K | active |
| iShowSpeed | 12.2% | +4.8pp | $15K | active |
| Changpeng Zhao | 24.5% | -1.5pp | $718 | active |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 68.0% | +4.0pp | $4K | active |
| Nicolás Maduro | 5.5% | — | $16K | active |
| Nick Fuentes | 6.8% | -0.5pp | $21K | active |
| Aleksandr Lukashenko | 28.0% | — | $2K | active |
| Lai Ching-te | 3.5% | — | $19K | active |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 5.5% | — | $16K | active |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8.5% | — | $17K | active |
| MrBeast | 10.5% | — | $17K | active |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 39.5% | +20.0pp | $195 | active |
| King Mohammed VI | 17.0% | -1.0pp | $469 | active |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100.0% | +1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ali Khamenei | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Abdel Fattah El-Sisi | 100.0% | +1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Friedrich Merz | 100.0% | +1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Maria Corina Machado | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Javier Milei | 100.0% | +6.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Xi Jinping | 100.0% | +0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 100.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Keir Starmer | 100.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Giorgia Meloni | 100.0% | +1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Lula da Silva | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
18%
4%
39%
12%
25%
68%